A few months ago, some real estate agencies were still claiming that there is no crisis currently facing the real estate sector in Spain.

But those people are probably either living in The Twilight Zone and/or out of business by now.

Even the New York Times has been running a series of stories about the Spanish real estate market, noting that the Spanish housing market is in even worse danger than the US market! That’s saying quite a bit.

In my last post, I looked at the announcement that Expofinques was seeking bankruptcy protection. Out of curiosity, I searched for headlines related to the other two franchises that I investigated back when I entered real estate in 2005: Don Piso and Tecnocasa.

Here’s what I found:

• La red de venta de pisos Expofincas suspende de pagos: I already examined this story in my last blog post.
• El Grupo Tecnocasa reduce un 39,3% su beneficio en 2007 y cerro 387 oficinas en España: Tecnocasa, another of the major Spanish real estate agencies, earned €8.8 million less in profit than in 2007, which is a 39.3% decrease relative to 2006. The group’s turnover was €51 million in 2007, 10% less than in 2006. In 2007, the group closed one-third of their franchisees (387 of 1052 offices). The franchisees overall earned €215.56 million in 2007, which was 30.9% less than in 2006. Tecnocasa sold 16,760 homes in 2007, which was 27.1% less than in 2006.
• Efectos del frenazo inmobiliario: Don Piso ajusta plantilla y cierra 26 oficinas comerciales: Don Piso, probably the strongest national brand, supported by one of Spain’s most blue-chip companies, Grupo Ferrovial, has 136 internal offices and 227 franchised offices. They note that the franchisees have been the worst hit, given that they have to pay a fixed monthly royalty payment of €1200 to €1500 (in Expofincas, for example, the royalty was variable, dependent on sales). In total, the Company had closed or expected to close 36 offices as of October 2007.

So what can we learn from the current crisis?

• It’s the banks’ (and Alan Greenspan’s) fault: Whether fairly or not, everyone blames the banks, which aren’t being very flexible in terms of lending money either to potential buyers or to agencies in need of refinancing their debts. Everyone’s been burned by the US sub-prime mortgage crisis and the resulting world-wide credit crunch (which some people are blaming on Alan Greenspan), and banks are no longer willing to take risks.
• A buyer’s market: If you are a relatively “risk-free” home buyer (meaning that you have your finances more or less in order — that you’re the kind of low-risk client that banks now like), then now is the time to begin your search. If not now, then in the near future, as both real estate agents and sellers are desperate to sell — in some cases, their very survival might depend on their capacity to get a few sales done. Agents and sellers no longer have the luxury of being chulo (arrogant), as pretty much everyone was a couple of years ago when buyers were fungible. Now the buyer is the queen!
• Internet is the cheapest option for sellers, and the most convenient option for buyers: Despite the crisis, people are still searching for properties, and when they do search, more are searching online. So even if the overall number of real estate purchases decrease, the percentage that is searching online is increasing. In addition, agencies are now more willing to try new, cheaper options that might allow them to reach interested buyers. For that reason, the newspapers will lose big as more agencies go under, because fewer agencies will be able to pay the exorbitant price of placing their ads in even 1 major newspaper. By contrast, Idealista is a lot cheaper, and nuroa.es, our Spanish property search engine, is free for agencies.

There’s an expression in English that “when the going gets tough, the tough get going”, which means basically that the only way to overcome a difficult situation is to work harder and better. The real estate crisis will no doubt shake up the Spanish real estate market, and there will be a few winners and lots of losers. But that’s life, and instead of looking at the glass as half-empty, I prefer to think that current market conditions provide a unique opportunity for disruptive Internet products that can help a troubled real estate sector buy a little bit more time in order to survive the current downturn. And it’s clear, of course, that I think that nuroa is such a product.